Method · Stage 02

Structure: turn information into comparable options

Turn scattered information into a decision problem with explicit assumptions, options, criteria and scenarios that can be compared consistently.

Key points

What to remember

  1. 01

    A decision formulated before scenarios

  2. 02

    Assumptions with named owners

  3. 03

    Two to four distinct options

  4. 04

    The same criteria and units for every option

01

Formulate the decision problem

A useful question specifies the decision-maker, date, scope, horizon, non-negotiable constraints and consequences of the choice. It avoids broad formulations such as “what is the best strategy?”

02

Build the options and criteria

Start with a credible continuity option. Then add choices whose strategic logic genuinely differs. Each criterion should have a definition, a scale and expected evidence.

BlockContentControl
AssumptionUncertain value or presumed relationshipSource, owner and sensitivity
OptionCoherent strategic logicSame horizon and depth
CriterionComparison dimensionObservable definition and scale
ScenarioOption and associated assumptionsConsistent units and period
03

Keep the capabilities distinct

Grid structures matrices and portfolio choices. Mix compares commercial price, volume and cost assumptions. Calc documents reusable and auditable formulas and calculations.

Using them in one method creates a readable progression. Teams justify assumptions and interpret the results before the trade-off.

MOD

Workspaces relevant to this step